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Momentum Is Shifting Toward Joe Biden As Trump’s Woes Mount

simolhiba by simolhiba
March 17, 2024
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Momentum Is Shifting Toward Joe Biden As Trump’s Woes Mount

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The winds of political momentum look to be shifting toward President Biden as Trump has a massive problem with Nikki Haley voters.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll found:

Some 39% of registered voters in the one-week poll, which closed on Wednesday, said they would vote for Biden, a Democrat, if the election were held today, compared with 38% who picked Republican former President Trump. Biden’s lead was within the survey’s 1.8 percentage point margin of error.

Many voters remain undecided, with 11% saying they would vote for other candidates, 5% saying they would not vote, and 7% saying they did not know or refusing to answer.

To get more stories like this, subscribe to our newsletter The Daily.

…

Trump had a marginal lead among all respondents, but Biden’s lead among registered voters was significant because people who are already registered to vote are more likely to do so in November. Only two-thirds of eligible voters turned out in the 2020 presidential election in which Biden defeated Trump.

No one should place too much faith in any single poll, but the Reuters poll was conducted over the course of a week with nearly 5,000 respondents. It wasn’t a quick poll taken with a small sample.

The poll is likely a more realistic look at where things stand right now. President Biden has a small advantage. There are a ton of undecided voters, and Trump has a massive problem with Nikki Haley voters.

Just 37% of Haley voters said that they would vote for Trump. Sixteen percent said that they would vote for Biden. The rest of the Republican voters suggested that they wouldn’t vote or they would vote for someone else.

Biden is not in nearly as much trouble as some of the other polls would suggest, but at this stage when the vast majority of voters aren’t paying attention, the incumbent holds a small advantage with voters who are most likely to vote.

The incumbent president has a fundraising advantage, no criminal charges against him, and much more upside than Trump.

It isn’t difficult to see the election going in the direction of more voters moving toward President Biden as Trump continues to run more toward the extreme right.

Spring has not yet arrived in this presidential election year, but the incumbent president has a visible path to a second term.

— Sarah Reese Jones (@PoliticusSarah) March 8, 2024

Biden is taking on Trump and his lies while showing the American people what he has done and what is at stake in 2024.

A Special Message From PoliticusUSA

If you are in a position to donate purely to help us keep the doors open on PoliticusUSA during what is a critical election year, please do so here. 

We have been honored to be able to put your interests first for 14 years as we only answer to our readers and we will not compromise on that fundamental, core PoliticusUSA value.

Jason is the managing editor. He is also a White House Press Pool and a Congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason has a Bachelor’s Degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.

Awards and  Professional Memberships

Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and The American Political Science Association



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